Dr M doesn't accept Harapan's choice of PM, which is Anwar, and he plans to continue with his efforts to make his choice, Shafie, the PM should Perikatan get toppled.
Now, if you do the math, you will see that he basically has 14 people in his block (5 formerly from Bersatu and 9 from Warisan). That's all he's got: 14.
So, on what basis does he think he can get at least 112 MPs on his side? There is only one possibility I can think of, which is the following sequence of assumptions:
He can get GPS to switch sides. That gives him another 18. So, his total would add up to 14 + 18 = 32.
Even if he believes he can get DAP and Amanah to support his coalition, that would be only another 42 + 11 = 53. That gives him a grand total of 32 + 53 = 85. Still far short of the 112 he needs to control Parliament.
PKR has 38. If you add that into the mix, you will have 123, a comfortable majority.
So, no matter what, he needs PKR to be on board. How does he hope to do so? Probably not by appealing directly to PKR. He and Anwar are at loggerheads. No, he is probably hoping that should he manage to get GPS on board, both DAP and Amanah would pressure PKR to hop on board.
That must be his calculation. There is no other configuration I can think of that would work.
PAS also has 18 MPs, but he can't bring PAS into the coalition, Amanah and DAP would object. He can't bring UMNO into the equation. Again, Amanah and DAP would object.
The only bloc that he could possibly bring in is GPS, with its 18 MPs, and even then, he would still need PKR for its 38 MPs.
So, he must be banking on peer pressure from Amanah and DAP for PKR to give in and agree to join his coalition, on his terms.
Politics is the art of the impossible but this is soooooo not gonna happen.
He's over-estimating Amanah and DAP's ability to sway PKR, and underestimating PKR's resolves not to fooled by him again. "Once bitten, twice shy," as they say.
Dr M may have a game plan but it's one that he's bound to lose.
Now, if you do the math, you will see that he basically has 14 people in his block (5 formerly from Bersatu and 9 from Warisan). That's all he's got: 14.
So, on what basis does he think he can get at least 112 MPs on his side? There is only one possibility I can think of, which is the following sequence of assumptions:
He can get GPS to switch sides. That gives him another 18. So, his total would add up to 14 + 18 = 32.
Even if he believes he can get DAP and Amanah to support his coalition, that would be only another 42 + 11 = 53. That gives him a grand total of 32 + 53 = 85. Still far short of the 112 he needs to control Parliament.
PKR has 38. If you add that into the mix, you will have 123, a comfortable majority.
So, no matter what, he needs PKR to be on board. How does he hope to do so? Probably not by appealing directly to PKR. He and Anwar are at loggerheads. No, he is probably hoping that should he manage to get GPS on board, both DAP and Amanah would pressure PKR to hop on board.
That must be his calculation. There is no other configuration I can think of that would work.
PAS also has 18 MPs, but he can't bring PAS into the coalition, Amanah and DAP would object. He can't bring UMNO into the equation. Again, Amanah and DAP would object.
The only bloc that he could possibly bring in is GPS, with its 18 MPs, and even then, he would still need PKR for its 38 MPs.
So, he must be banking on peer pressure from Amanah and DAP for PKR to give in and agree to join his coalition, on his terms.
Politics is the art of the impossible but this is soooooo not gonna happen.
He's over-estimating Amanah and DAP's ability to sway PKR, and underestimating PKR's resolves not to fooled by him again. "Once bitten, twice shy," as they say.
Dr M may have a game plan but it's one that he's bound to lose.
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