So, we find that Muhyiddin has 113 MPs out of 222. That means he has a tiny majority of two. If two MPs crossover to the Opposition, his government falls.
He's trying to keep Perikatan together by making a whole bunch of them either ministers or deputy ministers, and the rest: GLC heads. Will that satisfy all 113? All it takes is for two disgruntled MPs who feel they didn't quite get what they deserved and it's game over.
This is not a stable coalition. It's really a marriage of convenience. Sure, Harapan was a marriage of convenience too but that one involved three parties that genuinely got along well (PKR, DAP & Amanah) teaming up with one that didn't quite fit in (Bersatu). With Perikatan, it involves three main parties that are actually rivals to each other.
Even if Perikatan manages to make it to GE15 without imploding it would be close to impossible for them to come up with seat allocations with Bersatu, UMNO and PAS all vying for the same demographic. It would have been hard enough for UMNO and PAS to sort out seat allocations. Now, you have Bersatu in the mix. Impossible!
UMNO will want to contest in most of these seats because it wants to maintain its position as the party with the most seats in the coalition. PAS wants to contest more seats because it doesn't want to play second fiddle to UMNO. Bersatu wants to contest more seats because it wants to be the biggest party in the coalition too. What a powder keg!
If Harapan can get its act together, it should not have to worry too much about Perikatan.
He's trying to keep Perikatan together by making a whole bunch of them either ministers or deputy ministers, and the rest: GLC heads. Will that satisfy all 113? All it takes is for two disgruntled MPs who feel they didn't quite get what they deserved and it's game over.
This is not a stable coalition. It's really a marriage of convenience. Sure, Harapan was a marriage of convenience too but that one involved three parties that genuinely got along well (PKR, DAP & Amanah) teaming up with one that didn't quite fit in (Bersatu). With Perikatan, it involves three main parties that are actually rivals to each other.
Even if Perikatan manages to make it to GE15 without imploding it would be close to impossible for them to come up with seat allocations with Bersatu, UMNO and PAS all vying for the same demographic. It would have been hard enough for UMNO and PAS to sort out seat allocations. Now, you have Bersatu in the mix. Impossible!
UMNO will want to contest in most of these seats because it wants to maintain its position as the party with the most seats in the coalition. PAS wants to contest more seats because it doesn't want to play second fiddle to UMNO. Bersatu wants to contest more seats because it wants to be the biggest party in the coalition too. What a powder keg!
If Harapan can get its act together, it should not have to worry too much about Perikatan.
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