Ku Li: Bersatu shouldn't come into the picture.
Enough said.
Sharing what I discover and my thoughts on them.
Friday, July 03, 2020
Wednesday, July 01, 2020
PN's seat allocation problem
Interesting analysis by Malaysiakini about the "fake" PN list.
Fact 1: In GE14, UMNO fielded 120 candidates and had 54 winners.
Fact 2: Bersatu fielded 52 candidates and won 13.
Fact 3: PAS fielded 154 candidates and won 18.
The PN Dilemma:
1. UMNO, which perceives itself as the Big Brother in any coalition, will want to contest in many seats in order to maintain its dominance in terms of seats.
2. Bersatu, which currently helms PN, wants to get more seats than any other party to ensure that it stays in charge.
3. PAS which fielded the most number of candidates, will want to continue to do so.
Seat allocation in as close to an impossible feat as you could find when it comes to these three parties, all of whom are targeting the same electorate.
Harapan has its problems but not like this. Harapan has already sorted out its seat allocations among PKR, DAP and Amanah. The only question is whether they will contest seats that Dr M's faction and Warisan are contesting. I think they should. They cannot rely on these people to necessarily support Harapan. So they need to get enough numbers on their own, to form a government.
Fact 1: In GE14, UMNO fielded 120 candidates and had 54 winners.
Fact 2: Bersatu fielded 52 candidates and won 13.
Fact 3: PAS fielded 154 candidates and won 18.
The PN Dilemma:
1. UMNO, which perceives itself as the Big Brother in any coalition, will want to contest in many seats in order to maintain its dominance in terms of seats.
2. Bersatu, which currently helms PN, wants to get more seats than any other party to ensure that it stays in charge.
3. PAS which fielded the most number of candidates, will want to continue to do so.
Seat allocation in as close to an impossible feat as you could find when it comes to these three parties, all of whom are targeting the same electorate.
Harapan has its problems but not like this. Harapan has already sorted out its seat allocations among PKR, DAP and Amanah. The only question is whether they will contest seats that Dr M's faction and Warisan are contesting. I think they should. They cannot rely on these people to necessarily support Harapan. So they need to get enough numbers on their own, to form a government.
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