Friday, May 11, 2018

The horsetrading has begun

Although BN currently controls Sabah, Mahathir has said the federal government will not recognize this if there was corruption involved.

As I had mentioned in my earlier blog posting, Sabah politics is very fluid. A lot of horsetrading goes on and people can be "incentivized" to switch camps.

Proving that those incentives include financial rewards may be quite tough but in the end it might not matter. There is a new report that says the BN government in Sabah is already in danger of crumbling and that the Warisan-led coalition might have as many as 38 assemblyman by this evening.

This is all speculation and it's probably hyperbole to say they can get as many as that but could it get a handful of crossovers, enough to form a simple majority? Very, very possible.

Meanwhile, the situation in Perak is also rather uncertain with both BN and Pakatan each saying they have enough seats to form the government.

Perak has 59 state seats. Pakatan has 29, BN 27 and PAS just three (making it the kingmaker).

Whichever side PAS aligns to will have a simple majority. Since PAS has made it clear it won't abandon its pursuit of hudud law, it's highly unlikely it will want to partner up with Pakatan.

That means a BN-PAS alliance is imminent unless two of the PAS members decide to ally themselves with Pakatan. Anything's possible in politics. 

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